7
Mon Ricin
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 18
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place des Vosges Handicap · 1m 4f 94y
#2
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | 2 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-12-11 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Fontainebleau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 15-18 · tight 83/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 24/10/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 64% | -0.21 |
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |
| 11/12/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 87% | +0.50 |
| 15/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 87% | +0.26 |
| 07/05/2026 | 12th | 13/2 | 66% | 27% | -0.39 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 25/08/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |