9
Nity Galeste
3yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 17
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place des Vosges Handicap · 1m 4f 94y
#14
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 2 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength91%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.78 |
| 13/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.36 |