12
Paolino
4yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 7
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place des Vosges Handicap · 1m 4f 94y
#17
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-08-23 | Deauville | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-24 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1824% of fieldRange 7-14 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength44%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 28/08/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 30/09/2025 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 01/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 24/02/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 29/03/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 23/08/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 06/09/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |