15
Pink Monday
4yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 4
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place des Vosges Handicap · 1m 4f 94y
#7
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | 3 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-04-12 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 15-18 · tight 83/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 11/03/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 12/04/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 25/08/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |