11

Sharpshoot
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 14
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place des Vosges Handicap · 1m 4f 94y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Le Lion D'angers | 3 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 5th | 9th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1894% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 82/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +19.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.15 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |