Flying Spur
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 13
ParisLongchamp · Arqana Series - Haras de Bouquetot Criterium d'Automne Stakes · 7f 209y
#10
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 1 | 4th | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -16.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 06/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |