11
Gafara
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 4
ParisLongchamp · Arqana Series - Haras de Bouquetot Criterium d'Automne Stakes · 7f 209y
#9
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-08-13 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 9-9 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength40%
Delivery trend +31.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |