IvyArcIvyArc
2

Keskaviel

2yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 14

ParisLongchamp · Arqana Series - Haras de Bouquetot Criterium d'Automne Stakes · 7f 209y

#12

Rank

Odds

60/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 31/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 12831/05C53 @ Chantilly 19/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12419/063C5 @ Vichy 20/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 12820/07C52 @ Deauville 13/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f101y Sft 12513/082C5 @ Saint-Cloud 11/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12811/09C5projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Saint-Cloud?3rd6th−3
2026-08-13Deauville24th4th0
2026-07-20Vichy?3rd6th−3
2026-06-19Chantilly36th7th−1
2026-05-31Chantilly?3rd6th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0519/0620/0713/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 1-15 · tight 22/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength53%

Delivery trend +6.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/05/20263rd22/10%75%+0.75
19/06/20266th4/179%44%-0.35
20/07/20263rd13/266%87%+0.21
13/08/20264th18/15%50%+0.45
11/09/20263rd18/15%71%+0.66