3
Magic Harry
2yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 9 · OR 77
ParisLongchamp · Arqana Series - Haras de Bouquetot Criterium d'Automne Stakes · 7f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
94%
Place Prob
70%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength16%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Leicester | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Pontefract | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength88%
Delivery trend +42.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |