9
Cameo
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 101
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de Royallieu (Group 1) · 1m 5f 202y
#10
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Doncaster | 1 | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cork | 1 | 6th | 7th | −0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Naas | 1 | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Lingfield | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 8-11 · tight 77/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 21/10/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 57% | -0.32 |
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 18/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 10/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |