2
Eleganz
4yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 6
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de Royallieu (Group 1) · 1m 5f 202y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Compiegne | 2 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-06-01 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2025-04-23 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength48%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 01/06/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 64% | +0.08 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |