6
Sunly
4yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 4
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de Royallieu (Group 1) · 1m 5f 202y
#8
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 1.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Saint-Cloud | 1 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2025-07-13 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2025-06-01 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 04/05/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 01/06/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 13/07/2025 | 2nd | 1/3 | 98% | 75% | -0.23 |
| 01/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |