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8

French Master

5yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 3 · OR 108

ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix du Cadran (Group 1) · 2m 3f 194y

#4

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength13%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Goodwood 24/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 96 · 1m6f Goo 132 · beat its mark24/05/2025 · OR 96 par24/052OR 962 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 100 · 1m6f34y Goo 133 · beat its mark17/06/2025 · OR 100 par1 @ Goodwood 29/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 108 · 2m Gd 138 · beat its mark29/07/2025 · OR 108 par29/071OR 1082 @ York 23/08/2025 · Pos 21st of 22 · OR 108 · 1m5f188y Goo 138 · below its mark23/08/2025 · OR 108 par1 @ Newmarket 01/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 108 · 1m4f GF 131 · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 108 par1/051OR 1081 @ Newbury 16/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 109 · 1m4f Goo 128 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 109 par2 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 108 · 2m5f143y GF 130 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 108 par20/062OR 1081 @ Goodwood 28/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 108 · 2m Goo 138 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 108 par1 @ York 21/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 108 · 2m56y GS 131 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 108 par21/081OR 108projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21York16th6th−0
2026-07-28Goodwood14th4th0
2026-06-20Royal Ascot22nd4th−2
2026-05-16Newbury15th6th−0
2026-05-01Newmarket13rd3rd−0
2025-08-23York221th23th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0523/0820/0621/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 29/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength54%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/05/20251st5/493%100%+0.07
17/06/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
29/07/20255th9/153%43%-0.10
23/08/202521st11/271%5%-0.66
01/05/20263rd9/276%60%-0.16
16/05/20265th9/153%0%-0.53
20/06/20262nd9/153%92%+0.39
28/07/20264th33/10%57%+0.57
21/08/20266th25/10%29%+0.29