1
Scandinavia
4yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 7 · OR 125
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix du Cadran (Group 1) · 2m 3f 194y
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Curragh | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Goodwood | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Leopardstown | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Navan | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Doncaster | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 76/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength82%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 10/07/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 29/07/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 13/09/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 15/05/2026 | 1st | 2/9 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |