10
Sheema's Rose
5yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 94
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix du Cadran (Group 1) · 2m 3f 194y
#8
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 10.9 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | 3 | 13th | 16th | −3 |
| 2026-06-20 | Compiegne | 2 | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Dieppe | 2 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 11th | 13th | −2 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 6th | 9th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength34%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 66/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 29/03/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 23/04/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 07/05/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 20/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/08/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |