10
Elastic
3yo Colt · 8-12 · Draw 7
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Daniel Wildenstein (Group 2) · 7f 209y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.2
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-04-12 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength83%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 02/09/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |