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3

Qirat

5yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 3 · OR 113

ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Daniel Wildenstein (Group 2) · 7f 209y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.4
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ ParisLongchamp 04/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 115 · 7f209y GS 132 · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 115 par4/10C?OR 115C0 @ Del Mar 01/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 114 · 1m Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 114 par1 @ Doncaster 28/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 114 · 1m Goo 128 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 114 par28/031OR 1141 @ Epsom Downs 05/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 112 · 1m113y Goo 134 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 112 par1 @ York 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 109 · 7f Goo 134 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 109 par27/061OR 1091 @ Goodwood 28/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 113 · 7f Goo 132 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 113 par1 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 113 · 1m Goo 136 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 113 par29/071OR 1131 @ Goodwood 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 113 · 1m Sft 133 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 113 par1 @ Doncaster 12/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 113 · 7f6y Gd 132 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 113 par12/091OR 113projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Doncaster13rd3rd0
2026-08-29Goodwood12nd2nd0
2026-07-29Goodwood19th9th+0
2026-07-28Goodwood14th4th0
2026-06-27York11st1st−0
2026-06-05Epsom Downs17th7th−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/105/0629/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength69%

Delivery trend +6.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20257th17/255%33%-0.22
01/11/202512th33/10%8%+0.08
28/03/20264th7/163%25%-0.38
05/06/20267th12/137%14%-0.23
27/06/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
28/07/20264th4/179%57%-0.22
29/07/20269th50/10%27%+0.27
29/08/20262nd13/266%83%+0.18
12/09/20263rd11/142%71%+0.29