1

Quddwah

6yo Horse · 9-4 · Draw 2 · OR 114

ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Daniel Wildenstein (Group 2) · 7f 209y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

88%

Place Prob

67%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.3
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 114 · 1m Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/06/2025 · OR 114 par17/061OR 114C1 @ Chantilly 20/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 114 · 7f209y Sft 128 · beat its mark20/07/2025 · OR 114 parC0 @ ParisLongchamp 07/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 114 · 7f209y Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/09/2025 · OR 114 par7/09C?OR 114C0 @ ParisLongchamp 04/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 114 · 7f209y GS 128 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 114 par1 @ Ascot 18/10/2025 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 114 · 1m Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 114 par18/101OR 114C0 @ Meydan 02/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 114 · 1m Gd 126 · beat its mark02/01/2026 · OR 114 parC0 @ Meydan 28/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 113 · 1m1f Gd 126 · beat its mark28/02/2026 · OR 113 par28/02C?OR 113C0 @ Meydan 28/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 115 · 1m1f Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 115 par1 @ Leopardstown 12/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 114 · 1m Gd 136 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 114 par12/091OR 114projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Leopardstown11st1st0
2026-03-28Meydan?2nd2nd+0
2026-02-28Meydan?1st1st0
2026-01-02Meydan?1st1st0
2025-10-18Ascot115th15th+0
2025-10-04ParisLongchamp?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/064/1028/0212/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 86/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/06/202510th16/116%0%-0.16
20/07/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
07/09/20256th17/255%55%-0.01
04/10/20252nd11/486%89%+0.03
18/10/202515th50/10%7%+0.07
02/01/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
28/02/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
28/03/20262nd8/158%90%+0.32
12/09/20261st1/195%100%+0.05