
Quddwah
6yo Horse · 9-4 · Draw 2 · OR 114
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Daniel Wildenstein (Group 2) · 7f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
88%
Place Prob
67%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Leopardstown | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Meydan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Meydan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Meydan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Ascot | 1 | 15th | 15th | +0 |
| 2025-10-04 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 20/07/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 07/09/2025 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 55% | -0.01 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 18/10/2025 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 02/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 28/02/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 90% | +0.32 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |