6
Siciliano
3yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 1
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Daniel Wildenstein (Group 2) · 7f 209y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.2
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 2 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-02-01 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-01-12 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-11-09 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Marseille-borely | ? | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 29/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength32%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 01/08/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 29/09/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 09/11/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 12/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 01/02/2026 | 10th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |