5

Sir Tommy Cen

4yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 5

ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Daniel Wildenstein (Group 2) · 7f 209y

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Chantilly 21/09/2024 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12521/09C1C5 @ ParisLongchamp 17/04/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y GS 125C5 @ ParisLongchamp 19/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12519/06C5C5 @ Chantilly 19/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Std 125C5 @ Pau 11/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12511/01C5C1 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 15/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1241 @ La Teste De Buch 21/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12321/0312 @ Toulouse 19/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1231 @ Deauville 16/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y GS 131 · HIGHER CLASS16/081projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Deauville18th8th+0
2026-04-19Toulouse21st3rd−2
2026-03-21La Teste De Buch13rd4th−1
2026-02-15Cagnes-sur-Mer?5th6th−0
2026-01-11Pau?1st6th−4
2025-12-19Chantilly?3rd8th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0919/1221/0316/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength27%

Delivery trend +4.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20245th14/126%56%+0.29
17/04/20258th15/261%22%-0.38
19/06/202510th9/276%0%-0.76
19/12/20253rd9/153%78%+0.25
11/01/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
15/02/20265th16/116%56%+0.40
21/03/20263rd9/276%83%+0.07
19/04/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
16/08/20268th100/10%22%+0.22