IvyArcIvyArc
1

Clavus

5yo Colt · 9-8 · Draw 8

ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place de la Concorde Handicap · 7f 209y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

99%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Deauville 02/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 97 · 6f211y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/11/2025 · OR 97 par2/11C1OR 97C1 @ Deauville 03/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 97 · 7f100y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/12/2025 · OR 97 parC5 @ Chantilly 19/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 97 · 7f209y Std 123 · below its mark19/12/2025 · OR 97 par19/12C5OR 972 @ Chantilly 21/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 97 · 1m1f97y Std 124 · below its mark21/01/2026 · OR 97 par1 @ Chantilly 08/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 97 · 7f209y Std 122 · beat its mark08/03/2026 · OR 97 par8/031OR 972 @ Saint-Cloud 24/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 1342 @ Saint-Cloud 10/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 97 · 7f209y Sft 127 · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 97 par10/042OR 971 @ Saint-Cloud 28/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 97 · 7f209y GS 123 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 97 par1 @ Vichy 24/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 97 · 7f209y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 97 par24/071OR 97projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Vichy11st1st+0
2026-06-28Saint-Cloud11st1st0
2026-04-10Saint-Cloud21st2nd−1
2026-03-24Saint-Cloud21st2nd−1
2026-03-08Chantilly12nd2nd0
2026-01-21Chantilly26th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/1121/0110/0424/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 33/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength64%

Delivery trend -4.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/11/20256th40/10%64%+0.64
03/12/20257th40/10%57%+0.57
19/12/20252nd11/486%88%+0.02
21/01/20266th13/891%17%-0.75
08/03/20262nd33/10%86%+0.86
24/03/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
10/04/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
28/06/20261st4/596%100%+0.04
24/07/20261st15/890%100%+0.10