5
Double Up
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 3
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place de la Concorde Handicap · 7f 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 2 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-04-16 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 13th | 14th | −1 |
| 2026-03-24 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength95%
Delivery trend +4.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 09/11/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 20/11/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 24/03/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 16/04/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 28/04/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 19/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |