9
Eliman
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 4
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place de la Concorde Handicap · 7f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 3 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-09-14 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-15 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
| 2025-06-28 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2025-05-16 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 76/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength72%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 16/05/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 28/06/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 15/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 14/09/2025 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 38% | -0.17 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 10/09/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 93% | +0.01 |