Good Bye Manu
3yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 5
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place de la Concorde Handicap · 7f 209y
#14
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-16 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Craon | ? | 4th | 4th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/06/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 05/08/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 06/09/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 10/05/2026 | 7th | 200/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/06/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |