2
Half Half
6yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 14
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place de la Concorde Handicap · 7f 209y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Deauville | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 87% | +0.18 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 05/04/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 72% | -0.10 |
| 30/04/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.19 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 87% | +0.10 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |