6
Olympic Message
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 10
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place de la Concorde Handicap · 7f 209y
#10
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Deauville | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-24 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-18 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-01-12 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 9-15 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength17%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 16/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 09/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 12/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 87% | +0.13 |
| 18/02/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 24/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 87% | +0.26 |
| 05/07/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 47% | +0.31 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 74% | +0.08 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |