1

Bombora

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 7

Redcar · Racing TV EBF Stallions Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well-related Baaeed colt looked in need of the experience when eighth of 10 in maiden at Doncaster (1m, good) on debut 3 weeks ago, not unduly punished. Seems sure to build on it.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Doncaster 12/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS12/092
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Doncaster28th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength40%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/09/20268th8/158%22%-0.36