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2

Cagney

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 2

Redcar · Racing TV EBF Stallions Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Earthlight colt who is bred to be useful but showed only a bit when down the field in 6f York novice on debut in June. Probably needs more time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ York 27/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 6f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS27/062
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27York29th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 7-12 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength23%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/06/20269th18/15%20%+0.15