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5

Green Star

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 1

Redcar · Racing TV EBF Stallions Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sent off 11/1 for debut but shaped well when second of 8 in maiden at Chester (7f, good to soft) 3 weeks ago, pulling clear of rest. This No Nay Never colt must enter calculations.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength10%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Chester 12/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 7f1y Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS12/092
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Chester22nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 50/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/09/20262nd11/142%86%+0.44