Panelli
4yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 3 · OR 63
Redcar · Prohibition Bar Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 2f 1y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Redcar | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-30 | Beverley | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Newmarket | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Yarmouth | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Epsom Downs | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 04/01/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 12/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 06/08/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 30/08/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 15/09/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |