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8

Sunny Orange

6yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 8 · OR 56

Redcar · Prohibition Bar Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 2f 1y

#8

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Scored at Beverley in April and held his form admirably well since until a below-par fifth of 11 in handicap at Pontefract (1¼m, good to soft) 16 days ago. No surprise to see him bounce back for in-form yard though from a handy-looking mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Beverley 03/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 59 · 7f96y Goo 129 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 59 par3/076OR 596 @ Beverley 14/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 58 · 1m1f207y Goo 135 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Beverley 28/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 59 · 1m1f207y Goo 152 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 59 par28/076OR 596 @ Pontefract 05/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 59 · 1m2f5y Goo 155 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 59 par5 @ Beverley 12/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 59 · 1m1f207y Goo 131 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 59 par12/085OR 596 @ Ripon 15/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 60 · 1m1f170y Goo 140 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 60 par5 @ Beverley 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 59 · 1m1f207y Sft 126 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 59 par29/085OR 596 @ Redcar 09/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 19 · OR 58 · 7f219y Goo 134 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Pontefract 17/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 58 · 1m2f5y Gd 136 · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 58 par17/096OR 58projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Pontefract65th6th−1
2026-09-09Redcar66th7th−1
2026-08-29Beverley54th4th0
2026-08-15Ripon63rd4th−1
2026-08-12Beverley55th5th0
2026-08-05Pontefract62nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/075/0829/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 60/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength28%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/20264th8/158%70%+0.12
14/07/20262nd11/142%88%+0.45
28/07/20263rd11/486%71%-0.14
05/08/20262nd3/184%83%-0.01
12/08/20265th6/168%43%-0.26
15/08/20263rd9/276%83%+0.07
29/08/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
09/09/20266th9/153%72%+0.20
17/09/20265th11/486%60%-0.26