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6

Kartini

4yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 8 · OR 58

Redcar · Prohibition Bar Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 2f 1y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair maiden for Oliver Cole last year. Much better signs for current yard of late, fourth of 11 in handicap at Pontefract (1¼m, good to soft) 16 days ago. Weighted to go well off a 2 lb lower mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 13/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f Sta 12813/1055 @ Kempton 22/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 1255 @ Newcastle 07/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 67 · 7f14y Std 134 · below its mark07/11/2025 · OR 67 par7/115OR 676 @ Chelmsford City 26/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 65 · 1m2f Std 137 · beat its mark26/11/2025 · OR 65 par4 @ Pontefract 17/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 67 · 1m6y Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 67 par17/074OR 675 @ Southwell 06/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 65 · 1m14y Std 137 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Redcar 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 63 · 1m2f1y Goo 136 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 63 par22/085OR 635 @ Redcar 09/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 60 · 1m2f1y Goo 133 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Pontefract 17/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 60 · 1m2f5y Gd 138 · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 60 par17/096OR 60projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Pontefract64th5th−1
2026-09-09Redcar55th5th0
2026-08-22Redcar56th6th0
2026-08-06Southwell511th11th0
2026-07-17Pontefract46th5th+1
2025-11-26Chelmsford City62nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1026/1122/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength77%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/10/20254th18/15%50%+0.45
22/10/20254th14/126%73%+0.46
07/11/20259th14/126%11%-0.15
26/11/20252nd10/147%89%+0.42
17/07/20266th66/10%0%0.00
06/08/202611th125/10%0%0.00
22/08/20266th125/10%38%+0.38
09/09/20265th14/126%50%+0.24
17/09/20264th12/137%70%+0.33