8
Kitsune Power
7yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 9 · OR 55
Redcar · Prohibition Bar Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 2f 1y
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Beverley | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Ripon | 6 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 6 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Beverley | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Redcar | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Beverley | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 67/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 26/06/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 12/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 15/08/2026 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 31/08/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 16/09/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |