IvyArcIvyArc
13

Cheeky Chesca

2yo Filly · 8-3 · Draw 6 · OR 66

Redcar · William Hill Two Year Old Trophy (Listed) · 5f 217y

#10

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Finally got off the mark in 6f nursery at Catterick in September. Not at her best when sixth of 10 in nursery over C&D (good to soft) 10 days ago. Has plenty to find on form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲4
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 9.9 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wetherby 04/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Goo 1224/0654 @ Hamilton 17/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f7y Goo 1225 @ Nottingham 25/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 65 · 6f18y Goo 128 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 65 par25/065OR 655 @ Catterick 15/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 64 · 5f GF 125 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 64 par4 @ Doncaster 01/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 62 · 6f111y GF 128 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 62 par1/084OR 626 @ Catterick 17/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 61 · 5f212y Goo 131 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 61 par4 @ Beverley 30/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 60 · 5f Hvy 128 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 60 par30/084OR 606 @ Catterick 08/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 60 · 5f212y Goo 130 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 60 par5 @ Redcar 23/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 66 · 5f217y Gd 129 · beat its mark23/09/2026 · OR 66 par23/095OR 66projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Redcar56th11th−4
2026-09-08Catterick61st7th−5
2026-08-30Beverley43rd7th−3
2026-08-17Catterick63rd9th−5
2026-08-01Doncaster49th13th−3
2026-07-15Catterick57th12th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0615/0730/0823/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 5-13 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength27%

Delivery trend +6.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/06/20262nd5/287%88%+0.01
17/06/20263rd10/382%60%-0.22
25/06/20267th5/287%14%-0.73
15/07/20267th3/184%33%-0.51
01/08/20269th50/10%27%+0.27
17/08/20263rd13/266%71%+0.06
30/08/20263rd8/158%83%+0.25
08/09/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
23/09/20266th12/137%44%+0.08