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7

Elevating

2yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 3 · OR 86

Redcar · William Hill Two Year Old Trophy (Listed) · 5f 217y

#2

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

26%

Place Prob

27%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made it third time lucky in 5f maiden at Sandown in August. Has performed with credit when fourth in Newbury listed race (5f) and seventh in Salisbury Group 3 (6f) since. Needs a clear personal best here, however.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength27%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ York 10/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 12810/0722 @ Goodwood 30/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 7f Goo 12830/0724 @ Sandown 06/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 5f10y Goo 1286/0841 @ Newbury 14/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 84 · 5f34y Goo 128 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 84 par14/081OR 841 @ Salisbury 03/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 84 · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 84 par3/091OR 84projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Salisbury17th7th+0
2026-08-14Newbury15th5th0
2026-08-06Sandown41st5th−3
2026-07-30Goodwood29th10th−1
2026-07-10York22nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0730/076/0814/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength70%

Delivery trend +14.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/07/20262nd5/287%86%-0.01
30/07/20269th14/126%33%+0.07
06/08/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
14/08/20265th20/10%67%+0.67
03/09/20267th50/10%40%+0.40