2
Mind Those Steps
2yo Colt · 9-4 · Draw 9 · OR 77
Redcar · William Hill Two Year Old Trophy (Listed) · 5f 217y
#7
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Haydock | 4 | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-09-18 | Ayr | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-20 | York | 2 | 20th | 21th | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Newcastle | 4 | 11th | 15th | −3 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hamilton | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Ripon | 4 | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 4-13 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength24%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/07/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 20/08/2026 | 20th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/09/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 26/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |