9
Rlasthope
2yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 13 · OR 78
Redcar · William Hill Two Year Old Trophy (Listed) · 5f 217y
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | York | 2 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-14 | York | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Musselburgh | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Doncaster | 2 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 42/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +9.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 79% | +0.26 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 83% | +0.78 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 19/08/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |