4
Satellite Of Love
2yo Colt · 9-4 · Draw 10 · OR 105
Redcar · William Hill Two Year Old Trophy (Listed) · 5f 217y
#1
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
64%
Place Prob
42%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength14%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Doncaster | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-20 | York | 2 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Newbury | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-23 | Windsor | 5 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 75/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 79% | -0.03 |
| 10/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 94% | +0.52 |