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5

Stardom Glory

2yo Colt · 9-4 · Draw 2 · OR 93

Redcar · William Hill Two Year Old Trophy (Listed) · 5f 217y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Starspangledbanner colt gained a first win in 6f Chester maiden in June. Not at all discredited when sixth in Group 3 Acomb Stakes at York (7f) and valuable sales event at Doncaster (6.5f) since. More is needed in a first-time tongue tie.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength24%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 13323/0533 @ York 13/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 6f Goo 13313/0634 @ Chester 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 85 · 6f17y Goo 133 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 85 par27/064OR 851 @ York 19/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 89 · 7f Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 89 par19/081OR 892 @ Doncaster 10/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR 94 · 6f111y Goo 130 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 94 par10/092OR 94projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Doncaster26th7th−1
2026-08-19York16th6th+0
2026-06-27Chester41st5th−3
2026-06-13York32nd5th−2
2026-05-23York32nd5th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0513/0627/0619/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +13.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20262nd5/174%86%+0.12
13/06/20262nd10/382%83%+0.01
27/06/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
19/08/20266th14/126%44%+0.18
10/09/20266th33/10%69%+0.69