8
Oolong Poobong
4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 92
Redcar · John Smith's EBF Stallions Guisborough Stakes (Listed) · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Thirsk | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-08-20 | York | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 20th | 21th | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Thirsk | 3 | 5th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-06-20 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-05-31 | Haydock | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 32/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength29%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2024 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 12/09/2024 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 11/05/2025 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 31/05/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 20/06/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 17/06/2026 | 20th | 11/1 | 42% | 17% | -0.25 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |