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7

Witness Stand

5yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 7 · OR 111

Redcar · John Smith's EBF Stallions Guisborough Stakes (Listed) · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lennox Stakes winner at Glorious Goodwood in 2025 and back to form when third in the latest renewal of that race in July. Not at his best in the Hungerford at Newbury and Park Stakes at Doncaster since but still commands respect if on his A-game.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength49%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.5
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ ParisLongchamp 05/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 117 · 6f211y Ver 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/10/2025 · OR 117 par5/10C?OR 1171 @ Ascot 18/10/2025 · Pos 18th of 19 · OR 117 · 6f Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 117 parC0 @ Meydan 23/01/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR 115 · 7f Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/01/2026 · OR 115 par23/01C?OR 1151 @ Meydan 06/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 109 · 7f Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 109 par1 @ Epsom Downs 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 108 · 7f3y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 108 par6/061OR 1081 @ Chester 11/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 111 · 7f1y Goo 133 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 111 par1 @ Goodwood 28/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 111 · 7f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 111 par28/071OR 1111 @ Newbury 15/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 111 · 7f GF 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 111 par1 @ Doncaster 12/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 111 · 7f6y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 111 par12/091OR 111projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Doncaster15th5th+0
2026-08-15Newbury16th6th+0
2026-07-28Goodwood13rd3rd+0
2026-07-11Chester16th6th0
2026-06-06Epsom Downs12nd2nd+0
2026-03-06Meydan18th8th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/106/0328/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 64/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength94%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/10/202512th25/10%27%+0.27
18/10/202518th28/10%6%+0.06
23/01/202615th17/255%0%-0.55
06/03/20268th14/126%42%+0.15
06/06/20262nd12/137%86%+0.49
11/07/20266th2/189%38%-0.52
28/07/20263rd17/255%71%+0.16
15/08/20266th9/153%38%-0.15
12/09/20265th33/10%43%+0.43