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5

Double Parked

4yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 11 · OR 81

Redcar · Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight-Mile Series Final Handicap · 7f 219y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Likely to have landed a third C&D success had he knuckled down better (behind Classic Encounter) here in June. Made amends with a career-best win at York (1¼m) later that month. Only beaten 5 lengths in stronger event at York last time and has to be respected returning to this track.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Redcar 04/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 81 · 7f219y Goo 127 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 81 par4/102OR 813 @ Redcar 20/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 81 · 7f219y Goo 126 · beat its mark20/04/2026 · OR 81 par3 @ Redcar 07/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 81 · 7f219y Goo 126 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 81 par7/053OR 812 @ York 15/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 81 · 1m2f56y Gd 119 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 81 par3 @ Redcar 19/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 80 · 7f219y Gd 132 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 80 par19/063OR 804 @ York 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 80 · 1m2f56y Goo 156 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 80 par3 @ Hamilton 11/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 84 · 1m1f35y Goo 137 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 84 par11/083OR 842 @ York 22/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 20 · OR 84 · 1m2f56y Goo 119 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 84 par3 @ York 06/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 83 · 1m2f56y GS 130 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 83 par6/093OR 83projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06York36th7th−1
2026-08-22York213th13th0
2026-08-11Hamilton35th6th−1
2026-06-27York41st3rd−2
2026-06-19Redcar33rd4th−1
2026-05-15York212th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1015/0511/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength81%

Delivery trend +4.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20253rd3/184%83%-0.01
20/04/20267th4/179%25%-0.54
07/05/20263rd11/142%75%+0.33
15/05/202612th80/10%21%+0.21
19/06/20263rd12/137%80%+0.43
27/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
11/08/20265th8/158%67%+0.09
22/08/202613th40/10%37%+0.37
06/09/20266th15/261%64%+0.04