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14

Mount King

6yo Gelding · 8-2 · Draw 12 · OR 62

Redcar · Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight-Mile Series Final Handicap · 7f 219y

#13

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Again ran only respectably when beaten 5 lengths (behind Harswell Ruby) over C&D last time. Now 3 lb out of the weights in a stronger event and yard has better-fancied runners in here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲3
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Pontefract 22/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 66 · 1m6y Goo 126 · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 66 par22/055OR 665 @ Pontefract 21/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 64 · 1m6y Goo 139 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 64 par5 @ Pontefract 07/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 62 · 1m6y Goo 129 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 62 par7/075OR 626 @ Pontefract 17/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 62 · 1m6y Goo 137 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 62 par5 @ Pontefract 26/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 65 · 1m6y Goo 137 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 65 par26/075OR 655 @ Thirsk 14/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 65 · 7f218y Goo 125 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 65 par4 @ Redcar 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 65 · 7f219y Goo 127 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 65 par22/084OR 655 @ Beverley 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 64 · 1m100y Sft 131 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 64 par5 @ Redcar 15/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 63 · 7f219y Goo 133 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 63 par15/095OR 63projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Redcar55th9th−3
2026-08-29Beverley56th10th−3
2026-08-22Redcar44th6th−2
2026-08-14Thirsk59th13th−3
2026-07-26Pontefract52nd6th−3
2026-07-17Pontefract61st6th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0517/0722/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 42/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength58%

Delivery trend +2.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/05/20268th12/137%22%-0.15
21/06/20266th13/266%17%-0.49
07/07/20265th33/10%50%+0.50
17/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
26/07/20262nd7/282%83%+0.02
14/08/20269th11/142%43%+0.01
22/08/20264th16/116%67%+0.51
29/08/20266th13/266%44%-0.21
15/09/20265th9/153%67%+0.14