6
Nyman
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 73
Redcar · Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight-Mile Series Final Handicap · 7f 219y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲3
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Doncaster | 5 | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-09-05 | Thirsk | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-15 | Doncaster | 5 | 9th | 13th | −3 |
| 2026-08-08 | Redcar | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-19 | Redcar | 5 | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-05-26 | Redcar | 4 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 2-14 · tight 34/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength41%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 15/05/2026 | 17th | 12/1 | 37% | 24% | -0.13 |
| 26/05/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 85% | +0.43 |
| 15/08/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 27% | -0.28 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |