Rajapour
6yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 14 · OR 85
Redcar · Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight-Mile Series Final Handicap · 7f 219y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Hamilton | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-09-06 | York | 4 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-08-22 | Redcar | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-01 | Hamilton | 5 | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-07-25 | York | 4 | −2 | ||
| 2026-07-19 | Redcar | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +12.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 11/8 | 93% | 17% | -0.76 |
| 24/06/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.23 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 20/09/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |