Duc De Kent
6yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 2 · OR 76
Redcar · Market Cross Jewellers Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 5f 218y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kempton | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Chester | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-05-10 | Chester | 2 | 16th | 14th | +2 |
| 2024-04-06 | Kempton | 2 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2024-03-16 | Wolverhampton | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/2023 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/05/2023 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 27/05/2023 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 16/03/2024 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/04/2024 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 10/05/2024 | 16th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 12/08/2026 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 10/09/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |