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8

Flash Kozo

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 7 · OR 72

Redcar · Market Cross Jewellers Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 5f 218y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't been seen to best effect either start in turf handicaps. Going the right way on all-weather more recently, winning at Southwell (1¾m) before bumping into progressive ones at Wolverhampton/Kempton. Potentially interesting if translating his form to this surface.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength23%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 20/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f Sta 13320/084C5 @ Curragh 14/09/2025 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 6f63y Yie 1294 @ Southwell 21/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m13y Std 12521/0345 @ Southwell 29/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 69 · 1m3f23y Std 134 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Newbury 15/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 69 · 1m2f Gd 134 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 69 par15/055OR 695 @ Goodwood 19/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 67 · 1m3f218y Goo 132 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Southwell 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 65 · 1m6f21y Std 127 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 65 par27/075OR 655 @ Wolverhampton 18/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 70 · 1m5f219y Std 129 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 70 par4 @ Kempton 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 72 · 1m7f218y Sta 124 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 72 par5/094OR 72projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Kempton42nd2nd0
2026-08-18Wolverhampton52nd3rd−1
2026-07-27Southwell51st2nd−1
2026-06-19Goodwood55th6th−1
2026-05-15Newbury511th12th−1
2026-04-29Southwell53rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0829/0427/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 74/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength59%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/20254th10/147%67%+0.19
14/09/202516th40/10%0%0.00
21/03/20264th9/276%63%-0.14
29/04/20263rd7/491%67%-0.24
15/05/202611th11/142%23%-0.19
19/06/20265th13/266%43%-0.23
27/07/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
18/08/20262nd7/282%88%+0.06
05/09/20262nd9/488%80%-0.08