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Parisian Scholar

3yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 3 · OR 80

Redcar · Market Cross Jewellers Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 5f 218y

#1

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

96%

Place Prob

73%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Completed a double similar company at Newmarket in July. Looked ready for this step up in trip (and return to more positive tactics) when 6 lengths second at Windsor (11.5f) last time. Booking of Jason Hart a plus, too (4 wins from 10 in handicaps for stable here).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength50%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Chester 07/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 79 · 1m4f63y Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 79 par7/053OR 794 @ York 14/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 79 · 1m3f188y Gd 134 · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ Lingfield 01/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 77 · 1m4f Std 135 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 77 par1/064OR 774 @ Thirsk 01/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 74 · 1m4f8y Goo 130 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ Newmarket 11/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 77 · 1m4f GF 122 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 77 par11/074OR 772 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 80 · 1m3f218y Goo 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 80 par3 @ Goodwood 31/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 80 · 1m3f44y GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 80 par31/073OR 804 @ Newmarket 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 80 · 1m4f Goo 132 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Windsor 14/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 80 · 1m3f99y Goo 132 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 80 par14/094OR 80projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Windsor42nd2nd0
2026-08-21Newmarket42nd2nd0
2026-07-31Goodwood313th12th+1
2026-07-29Goodwood26th4th+2
2026-07-11Newmarket41st1st0
2026-07-01Thirsk41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/051/0731/0714/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength76%

Delivery trend +3.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/05/20267th11/271%14%-0.57
14/05/202611th50/10%23%+0.23
01/06/20264th13/266%25%-0.41
01/07/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
11/07/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
29/07/20266th28/10%29%+0.29
31/07/202613th12/137%0%-0.37
21/08/20262nd4/179%67%-0.12
14/09/20262nd7/163%88%+0.24