Al Hussar
4yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 9 · OR 79
Redcar · Watch Race Replays On racingtv.com Handicap · 5f
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Ayr | 2 | 21th | 19th | +2 |
| 2026-07-25 | Chester | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | York | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Hamilton | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Chester | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Thirsk | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 94% | +0.36 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 79% | +0.32 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 45% | -0.07 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 18/09/2026 | 21st | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |