10
Angel Numbers
3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 8 · OR 76
Redcar · Watch Race Replays On racingtv.com Handicap · 5f
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Ripon | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Doncaster | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Catterick | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Beverley | 5 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Ripon | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Thirsk | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 8-13 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 03/08/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 12/08/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 26/08/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |
| 13/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 26/09/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |